Fighting in Ethiopia and the Risk of Regional Spillover

In September, fighting broke out in Ethiopia’s Tigray region between Ethiopian government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), effectively collapsing the 2022 peace deal. In October, Ethiopian forces recaptured an airport and towns from the TPLF and started moving closer to the border with Eritrea. The renewed conflict raised concerns about both increased instability within Ethiopia — particularly as the TPLF joined with several other armed groups under a new Alliance for Survival — and the potential for a new war between Ethiopia and Eritrea. Ethiopia accused Eritrea of supporting the TPLF and sending its own forces across the border into Tigray. The two countries severed diplomatic ties.

The opening of the article. The full text is at War on the Rocks.